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Home»Politics

How David Crowley pulled off Wisconsin’s biggest upset

Shekari PhilemonBy Shekari PhilemonAugust 13, 2026 Politics No Comments4 Mins Read
David Crowley
Photo Credit: WISN 12 News (YouTube)
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Crowley was out of the race a month ago, and on Tuesday night he became the Democratic nominee for governor of Wisconsin by fewer than 4,000 votes.

The Milwaukee County executive edged past state Rep. Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist who had led the field for most of the primary, in a result almost nobody in the party saw coming. With nearly all ballots counted he held 39.8 percent to her 39.3 percent. A prediction market had put her chances at 95 percent hours before polls closed.

The win hands the Democratic establishment a reprieve in a state that decides presidential elections by fractions of a point. It also sets up a November race that forecasters already list among the closest in the country.

Who David Crowley is

He is 40 and grew up in a poor Milwaukee neighborhood that researchers have flagged for exceptionally high incarceration rates. His parents dealt with addiction and mental health struggles, and his family was evicted three times while he was a child. He has said hauling your belongings off a curb either breaks you or builds you.

He started as a community organizer in his late teens, worked as a campaign staffer and legislative aide, then won a seat in the Wisconsin State Assembly in 2016. Four years later he took the county executive job in a tight race, becoming the first Black person and the youngest person ever to hold it at age 33. Voters reelected him in 2024.

In office his priorities have centered on directing revenue toward Milwaukee’s poorest neighborhoods, expanding affordable housing, widening access to mental health care and confronting the opioid crisis. He also finished the bachelor’s degree he abandoned two decades earlier, graduating in 2024 while still running the county, and credited his daughters as the reason.

How Crowley engineered the comeback

Gov. Tony Evers ruled out a third term in July 2025 and Crowley launched the next day. For most of the following year he sat in the low single digits behind Hong, Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes.

In early July he gave up, suspending the campaign and endorsing Rodriguez. Nine days later Rodriguez exited over questions about her campaign finance disclosures. That reopened the lane, and Crowley climbed back in with Evers behind him. Barnes withdrew late in the month, leaving him as the last moderate standing.

None of it moved the numbers at first. A late July poll had Hong at 46 percent among primary voters against 11 percent for him. What changed was money and message. Crowley raised nearly three times as much after relaunching as in the entire year before, and argued he was the safer matchup in a swing state.

Why the establishment gambled on Crowley

Hong built genuine energy, drawing on frustration with the party mainstream and following progressive wins in Michigan, New York and Colorado. She campaigned on free childcare and health care, a state version of Medicare for All, guaranteed paid leave, higher taxes on wealth and corporations and a pause on data center construction.

Her old social media activity became the problem. Posts about defunding police and criticizing Thanksgiving resurfaced, and her explanations did not fully settle the matter. She said at the campaign’s only debate that she would not back cutting law enforcement budgets. Evers, asked directly whether she could win in November, offered a blunt negative.

What comes next in Wisconsin

Crowley now faces Rep. Tom Tiffany, who won the Republican primary decisively with President Donald Trump’s endorsement. Tiffany represents conservative rural northern Wisconsin, has cosponsored legislation for a national abortion ban and voted against certifying the 2020 electoral results from Arizona and Pennsylvania.

He used his acceptance remarks Wednesday to reject the framing of the primary as a fight between progressives and the center, arguing that reading missed the point entirely. Hong congratulated him and pledged to help beat Tiffany. The two plan a joint unity tour.

Democrats have held the governorship since 2019 and want both legislative chambers as well. If Crowley wins, he becomes the first Black governor in state history. The margin will likely be small either way.

2026 midterms Black politicians David Crowley Democratic primary Francesca Hong Milwaukee County Tom Tiffany Tony Evers Wisconsin governor Wisconsin politics
Shekari Philemon

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